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Blair's case for Iraq War smashed
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Jeremy
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PostSun Jul 11, 2004 11:42 am    Blair's case for Iraq War smashed

AOL News wrote:
Spy chiefs are reported to have retracted the intelligence behind Tony Blair's claim that Iraq posed a "current and serious'' threat.

The Prime Minister's case for war was supposedly based on evidence that Saddam Hussein had chemical and biological weapons stockpiles and was trying to produce more.

But MI6 has since withdrawn the assessment underpinning that case, a senior intelligence source has told the BBC1 Panorama programme.

The rare step amounts to an admission that it was fundamentally unreliable, according to The Observer which revealed details of the interview.

Mr Blair has already admitted that Iraqi WMD may never be found ahead of Lord Butler's report on intelligence failings.

But he insisted it would have been wrong to suggest that Saddam did not pose a WMD threat.

Now he will face questions about why he did not give ground earlier ahead of the Butler report on Wednesday.

The claim that the intelligence has been withdrawn comes from a single, anonymous intelligence source but meets new BBC guidelines introduced in the wake of the Hutton report.

Former senior figures in the secret services also have gone on the record with their criticisms of Mr Blair in the Panorama programme, screened at 10.15pm tonight.

Mr Blair's weapons of mass destruction claims and evidence to the Hutton inquiry are called into question by ex-chiefs from the Defence Intelligence staff (DIS).

The criticisms came after Dame Pauline Neville-Jones, former head of the Joint Intelligence Committee (JIC), said the "buck must stop'' with Mr Blair for any errors over Saddam's arsenal.

John Morrison, the former Deputy Chief of DIS, questioned Mr Blair's claim that the threat from Iraq was serious and current.

"In moving from what the dossier said Saddam had, which was a capability possibly, to asserting that Iraq presented a threat, then the Prime Minister was going way beyond anything any professional analyst would have agreed,'' he said.

Mr Blair is braced for damaging revelations when Lord Butler reports on Wednesday, the eve of two Parliamentary by-elections.

Lady Neville-Jones has insisted that "systematic failure'' within UK agencies did not let Mr Blair off the hook.


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Seven of Nine
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PostSun Jul 11, 2004 2:25 pm    

Can I just say something? This is what over 1 million people protested against in London last year, going to Iraq on iffy evidence. It's now been proved to be true, but I'd like to see Blair after the Butler enquiry. He might have to resign!

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Ksim3000
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PostSun Jul 11, 2004 6:14 pm    

The real threat with Weapons of mass Destruction was none other than North Korea, who are rumoured to have atleast six Nuclear Weapons and yet they accuse Iraq of having them instead. Well, there were no weapons. For one, Bush's main goals was to have revenge on Saddam Hussein and as usaul, Blair follow Bush like a little puppy with a pat on the head.

There were no weapons at all. Bush wanted revenge and also, that Oil was a nice bonus too. But Saddam Hussein wasn't even a threat. There is Russia practically next door and so even if Saddam Hussein tried anything, The Russians would have invaded.

Still, what is done is done I suppose although it will be interesting to see how Blair gets through it.


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Puck
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PostSun Jul 11, 2004 8:04 pm    

Saddam was a threat, perhaps not the largest, but he was. We know he DID have some chemical and biological weapons at one point, and he did nothing to make us think he had gotten rid of them. He also DID have ties to Al-Queada, how deep they ran is still murky, but we know that there was at least a little something going on. Bush did not go to war just for oil, or for revenge. Intelligence pointed that Saddam was a threat. If Iraq DID happen to have any WMD's and they somehow were used by Saddam or terrorists, he would have looked pretty bad not going after Saddam with the intelligence he had at the time. As for the CIA, they might have better Intel in the middle east if former President CLINTON had not passed his little Torricelli acts, we may have many more resources in the Middle-East, and much better intel.....but that's another story I guess.

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Link, the Hero of Time
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PostSun Jul 11, 2004 10:18 pm    

here we go. Bush looks bad so it's back to slamming democrats.

Bush went to war on flimsy evidence. His reasons for the war was the same as Blair's, "They have WMD's"

Yes, we knew Saddam had Biological and Chemical weapons, DURING THE GULF WAR! Since then most have either been destroyed or are still around, but have been stored so badly they are no longer a threat.

And now the truth comes out, so Bush must open his mouth and insert his foot.



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Puck
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PostSun Jul 11, 2004 10:32 pm    

What about the link between him and Al-Quaeda, there was one. It is murky, and they do not know the details, but there was one. As for WMD's. As for you, if the CIA told you they have WMD's and Blair's intelligence tells you, and you KNOW they did several years back, are you just gonna look over that, or are you gonna force the issue?

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Link, the Hero of Time
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PostSun Jul 11, 2004 10:56 pm    

Again, Iraq HAD them in the past, had being the Key word.

What I would have done is What Bush SHOULD have done. Gather more information to see if the original analysis that they have WMD's was correct or not.

unfortunetly he didn't, Thousands of Soldiers died and he was wrong. His entire case for the war in Iraq was based on the fact that "Iraq has WMD's"


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Jeremy
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PostMon Jul 12, 2004 3:53 am    

It seems like Iraq did have at least a few WMD, as there was that Sarin found a few months ago, which everyone seems to have forgotten about. But so far there is no link between Saddam and Al Quida. Actually the reports here on the evidence they had at the time say there was no link, so even if one is found then it can't be used as an excuse.

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PrankishSmart
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PostMon Jul 12, 2004 4:35 am    

Quote:
But he insisted it would have been wrong to suggest that Saddam did not pose a WMD threat.


This is crazy. He is trying to cover himself up from a bad decision and his decision to go to war was not over concrete evidence. It was over him assuming WMD exists.


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Theresa
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PostMon Jul 12, 2004 11:57 am    

Link, the Hero of Time wrote:
here we go. Bush looks bad so it's back to slamming democrats.

Bush went to war on flimsy evidence. His reasons for the war was the same as Blair's, "They have WMD's"

Yes, we knew Saddam had Biological and Chemical weapons, DURING THE GULF WAR! Since then most have either been destroyed or are still around, but have been stored so badly they are no longer a threat.

And now the truth comes out, so Bush must open his mouth and insert his foot.



It may be true that in the UK that WMD's were the only reason given for going to war in Iraq, but that wasn't the case in the US... So, tell me, why must Bush "insert foot"? Especially since the WMD's have not been disproven?



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Ksim3000
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PostMon Jul 12, 2004 1:16 pm    

But then if they had Weapons of mass Destruction, why were not any found? Surely there must have been a missile facility or something. Perhaps Iraq did abandon them as not to upset the international community? Not sure but if they did pose a threat, Russia would have just invaded anyway.

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Captain Dappet
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PostMon Jul 12, 2004 1:39 pm    

JanewayIsHott wrote:
What about the link between him and Al-Quaeda, there was one. It is murky, and they do not know the details, but there was one. As for WMD's. As for you, if the CIA told you they have WMD's and Blair's intelligence tells you, and you KNOW they did several years back, are you just gonna look over that, or are you gonna force the issue?
I wouldn't trust the C.I.A to polish my shoes. For reasons I won't post here, because you'd never, ever, believe them.


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Theresa
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PostMon Jul 12, 2004 1:44 pm    

Ksim3000 wrote:
But then if they had Weapons of mass Destruction, why were not any found? Surely there must have been a missile facility or something. Perhaps Iraq did abandon them as not to upset the international community? Not sure but if they did pose a threat, Russia would have just invaded anyway.


Remnants of factories were found, as well as weapons able to carry chemical warheads. If you were Saddam, and knew your ass was in trouble, would you leave everything lying around?



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Link, the Hero of Time
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PostMon Jul 12, 2004 7:52 pm    

Theresa wrote:


It may be true that in the UK that WMD's were the only reason given for going to war in Iraq, but that wasn't the case in the US... So, tell me, why must Bush "insert foot"? Especially since the WMD's have not been disproven?


The WMD's may not have been the only reason, yet it seems that it is the only reason Bush continually pushed. It was, after all, his number 1 main reason.

WMD's have not been proven or disproven, it's in a state of limbo. But with new evidence coming out in the UK, our closest ally, Things are starting to look bad for Bush.


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Jeremy
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PostTue Jul 13, 2004 8:25 am    

In some ways this has nothing to do with the evidence found now though. It is on the evidence that was provided to Bush and Blair at the time. If they were getting information that said there was WMDs then they have their case made. If it turns out that information was wrong then the blame should be on the people who gave them this wrong information. But if it turns out they were told at the time not to go in, yet they did then they are the ones in the wrong.

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Link, the Hero of Time
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PostTue Jul 13, 2004 4:14 pm    

The president can't pass the blame. It was after all, his decision to go to war with Iraq.

As Truman put it, "The buck stops here"


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Jeremy
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PostWed Jul 14, 2004 3:05 am    

Up to a certain point, then yes. But if he got information that was "solid" that there was WMD then he has an excuse. Another example could be the president had information from intelligence sources saying Korea was going to nuke America and he did a first strike, and then the information was found to be wrong is it his fault he made a wrong dicission on the wrong information? He cannot be blamed for a desiccion made on false information if he never knew it was wrong.

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Puck
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PostWed Jul 14, 2004 1:14 pm    

Let's blame all the Senators that voted for war to. They saw the EXACT same intel as the president when they voted.

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