Election 2006 [Democrats Take Over Congress]

CJ Cregg · Commodore Joined: 05 Oct 2002 Posts: 1254

I thought we should have a main thread to talk about the upcoming elections.

Heres some good sites:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/latestpolls/
http://us.cnn.com/ELECTION/2006/
http://www.electionprojection.com/
http://www.myelectionanalysis.com/
http://www.davidwissing.com/
http://online.wsj.com/public/resources/documents/info-flash05a.html?project=elections06-ft&h=495&w=778&hasAd=1&mod=blogs[/url]

IMO at the moment the GOP lose the house, keep the senate and lose a majority of Governorships

Republican_Man · **Tue Sep 05, 2006 8:16 pm**

The GOP will lose the House, I predict, for this reason: Hardly anyone knows who their Congressman is and hardly anyone pays attention to the House. They pay far more attention to the Senate.
Because of this, voters, no doubt feeling disgruntled with the Republicans, will simply vote out their Congressperson in the next election by a political vote. Therefore, the House will be lost.

I predict that the governorships will be somewhat lost but the GOP will still maintain a majority. The Senate will see a loss of perhaps one or two Republicans and the party loss of a Democrat, as I predict Lieberman will win in CT. The GOP will maintain control of the Senate.

CJ Cregg · Commodore Joined: 05 Oct 2002 Posts: 1254

I can't see anyway how the GOP can keep a majority of state governorships.

Likely pickups
Ohio
New York
Massachusetts
Arkansas

Leaning Pickups
Maryland
Colorado

if all those went Dem, which is likely it would give:
GOP 22 -6
DEM 28 +6

However GOP may pickup Michigan, but still leaves 27 Dems.

Republican_Man · **Tue Sep 05, 2006 8:29 pm**

Yeah, they may lose those states, but I doubt it. Colorado, I think, is pretty much in the bag, so long as Ritter can really be gotten out of the way. I think that if Beauprez gets his butt out there and starts to really campaign we can maintain my state.
My homestate (New York), on the other hand, is worthy of concern, but I think there's still a chance. I think a couple of the other states might be lost, but for the most part I think the GOP will retain its majority, though I'm not overly optimistic.

CJ Cregg · Commodore Joined: 05 Oct 2002 Posts: 1254

Republican_Man · **Tue Sep 05, 2006 8:41 pm**

If they're won. I'm still optimistic, particularly here in Colorado.

CJ Cregg · Commodore Joined: 05 Oct 2002 Posts: 1254

It looks like Kathrine Harris has won the Republican Nomination tonight.

Very good news indeed. Landslide win for Sen. Bill Nelson in November now.

Arellia · **Tue Sep 05, 2006 9:01 pm**

I'd like to see things change drastically. More than anything, I want a third party. The democrats and republicans are simply being disgusting in how they handle issues.

Republican_Man · **Tue Sep 05, 2006 9:01 pm**

Glad to hear Harris won. I hope she gets the nomination. Fantastic candidate.

Lord Borg · **Tue Sep 05, 2006 9:03 pm**

CJ Cregg · Commodore Joined: 05 Oct 2002 Posts: 1254

Republican_Man · **Tue Sep 05, 2006 9:12 pm**

CJ Cregg · Commodore Joined: 05 Oct 2002 Posts: 1254

Last 3 polls from Florida:

Poll Source Date Nelson (D) Harris (R)
Rasmussen September 5, 2006 57% 34%
Strategic Vision August 30, 2006 63% 20%
Zogby/WSJ August 28, 2006 52.4% 31.8%

I personally could never support her. I find her to be repulsive.

Republican_Man · **Tue Sep 05, 2006 9:57 pm**

A lot can happen in two months' time, you know, especially with campaign season finally kicking into full gear.

CJ Cregg · Commodore Joined: 05 Oct 2002 Posts: 1254

Some new polls released today:

Republican_Man · **Wed Sep 06, 2006 6:52 pm**

Just saw another "Both Ways Bob" commercial. If Beauprez doesn't start getting his but out there and really put some effort into this campaign, I might just have to concede the loss of the Colorado governorship, which would be deadly. We cannot allow this state to fall into another Democratic reign. The Dems already control the House and Senate in the state. The governorship would only make things worse, assuming that the Dems maintain control in those areas.

God help this great state if the end result is the Dems maintaining the House and Senate and gaining the governorship.

CJ Cregg · Commodore Joined: 05 Oct 2002 Posts: 1254

Republican_Man · **Fri Sep 08, 2006 5:54 pm**

That's just horrible. The GOP is idiotic in my state too, only worse. It doesn't support any candidates beyond Senator and Governor, pretty much.

CJ Cregg · Commodore Joined: 05 Oct 2002 Posts: 1254

CJ Cregg · Commodore Joined: 05 Oct 2002 Posts: 1254

http://www.electoral-vote.com/ is back

You may remember it from the 2004 elections.

Its not tracking the senate

Republican_Man · **Tue Sep 19, 2006 11:00 pm**

I just learned the funniest little campaign factoid today.
A guy and a girl in my AP Gov class (cousins of one another) are a nephew and a neice, respectively, of Bill Ritter, the Democratic candidate for governor in this state!

I just hope it doesn't really come to too much debate over the governorship. There's no way I'm gonna support Bill Ritter for governor, and none of the Republicans I know would even think about doing it

Sadly, he does have a chance, though.

CJ Cregg · Commodore Joined: 05 Oct 2002 Posts: 1254

Republican_Man · **Sun Oct 08, 2006 1:47 pm**

Beauprez has moved up in his campaign and squashed Ritter in a debate this past week, but I'm starting to have doubts about his ability to win, unfortunately. You may yet me right, CJ, about the Colorado governorship falling to the Dems, which would be hell on Earth, giving them control of both branches...

CJ Cregg · Commodore Joined: 05 Oct 2002 Posts: 1254

Speaking of Colorado, A new poll out today.

Republican_Man · **Sun Oct 08, 2006 1:58 pm**

That's that one poll. There was another recent one that had Beauprez closing in on him, standing only a few points away. But I do worry about the race now.